Three underdogs to watch on Jake Paul vs Gervonta Davis undercard

On November 18, the eyes of the boxing world will be on Miami’s Kaseya Center for the controversial Jake Paul (12–1, 7 KOs) vs Gervonta Davis (30–0–1, 28 KOs) exhibition. Fans will be tuning in for the Jake Paul vs Tank undercard, with talented fighters appearing.

Despite the glitz of the main event, smart boxing fans know: the best stories often unfold before the headline fight.

Several fighters on the Jake Paul vs Tank Davis undercard bring real upset potential — not because of hype, but because of their styles, timing, and mentality. As many fans tracking boxing betting sites already noticed, the odds don’t always reflect how close these matchups really are.

Below, we highlight three live underdogs from a boxing perspective who could turn heads — and how a “three-bet” approach (a balanced, risk-managed system of picks) might apply to each.

Jake Paul vs Tank undercard

1. Leila Beaudoin vs Alycia Baumgardner

Underdog with a counterpuncher’s blueprint

• Beaudoin: 13–1 (2 KOs)
• Baumgardner: 16–1 (7 KOs)
• Titles: WBA, WBO, IBF Women’s Junior Lightweight

Alycia “The Bomb” Baumgardner is the unified queen of 130 lbs — explosive, athletic, and offensively gifted.

However, her aggression can become a double-edged sword. Baumgardner tends to lead exchanges with wide hooks and occasionally pulls straight back after throwing combinations — a habit that leaves her open to precise counters.

Beaudoin’s edge: She’s not a knockout artist, but she’s a rhythm disruptor. A technician who can make Baumgardner overcommit, pivot off the centerline, and counter cleanly with her left hook.

If she slows the pace, stays disciplined, and controls distance, this fight could get surprisingly close on the scorecards.

Three-Bet Strategy:

Analyst angle 1 (Main Pick – Beaudoin to Win): Small stake on Beaudoin outright (+400 to +500 range). She can outbox if Baumgardner gets too wild.

Analyst angle 2 (Decision Win): Beaudoin by decision (+650). Her path to victory is tactical and defensive, not explosive.

Analyst angle 3 (Baumgardner KD + Beaudoin Win): For long-shot value, prop on Baumgardner scoring a knockdown but Beaudoin winning (often +1500+). She’s been dropped before but recovers well.

2. Andy Hiraoka vs Gary Antuanne Russell

Undefeated Japanese contender with elite poise

• Hiraoka: 24–0 (19 KOs)
• Russell: 18–1 (17 KOs)
• Title: WBA Super Lightweight

Gary Antuanne Russell is a destroyer, early, relentless, powerful, and dangerous inside.

But there’s a known pattern: his intensity sometimes fades after the mid-rounds, especially when opponents use movement and angles.

Hiraoka’s edge: He’s calm under fire and uses a tight guard with sharp straight counters. His footwork allows him to reset distance — something that frustrates Russell’s pressure. If Hiraoka can survive the early storm, his jab and timing could start breaking Russell’s rhythm in rounds 6–9.

3-Bet Strategy:

Analyst angle 1 (Hiraoka to Win): Moderate stake (+350 to +400). He’s durable, disciplined, and technically sound.

Analyst angle 2 (Hiraoka KO/TKO): Smaller stake (+800). Russell is hittable when tired, and Hiraoka’s power is underrated.

Analyst angle 3 (Hiraoka Round 7–9 KO): Speculative bet (+1200+). If Russell fades, that’s the danger zone.

3. Yadira Bustillos vs Yokasta Valle

A hungry young challenger with relentless volume

• Bustillos: 11–1 (2 KOs)
• Valle: 33–3 (10 KOs)
• Title: WBC Strawweight

Yokasta Valle is one of the most experienced women’s champions in the sport — technically brilliant, with composure and control.

But Bustillos brings youth and pressure. She doesn’t have knockout power, yet her pace forces opponents into uncomfortable exchanges. Valle sometimes coasts through the middle rounds — and Bustillos thrives in those moments.

Bustillos’ edge: She can win through accumulation. If she keeps the output high and forces Valle to fight every second of every round, the champ’s timing may break down.

Three-Bet Strategy:

Analyst angle 1 (Bustillos to Win): Light stake (+500+). Her volume could steal close rounds.

Analyst angle 2 (Bustillos by Decision): Slightly larger stake (+650). She’s not a KO threat, but an upset on points is possible.

Analyst angle 3 (Bustillos Round Group 9–10 KO): Very small flyer (+1800+). If Valle fatigues and can’t keep up late, a stoppage isn’t impossible.

Bankroll & risk management

Smart wagering starts with understanding each matchup and its dynamics. A “3-bet” approach means diversifying your stake:

• 50% of your bet allocation on the main upset (underdog win)
• 30% on the method of victory (decision or KO)
• 20% on the most speculative, high-reward outcome (round group or prop)

These fights are underdog scenarios — high risk, high reward. Bet responsibly, and only with a small fraction of your overall bankroll (no more than 5–10%).

Jake Paul vs Tank undercard – final word

The main event will dominate headlines, but the real stories might come earlier on the Jake Paul vs Tank undercard.

Leila Beaudoin, Andy Hiraoka, and Yadira Bustillos each enter as betting underdogs — yet from a boxing perspective, they all have credible, tactical paths to victory.

Whether you’re watching as a fan or tracking the odds, this undercard has the potential to produce more than one surprise in Miami.